Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 11.205730 12.560670 14.054255 15.829708 17.891561 20.221184 23.067493
2025-11-02 9.212577 10.944940 12.999151 15.638826 18.975843 23.101486 28.662723
2025-11-09 8.010806 9.887061 12.222316 15.386534 19.631112 25.229814 33.348465
2025-11-16 7.175304 9.126881 11.651594 15.223143 20.255530 27.267594 38.102194
2025-11-23 6.448629 8.404821 11.016390 14.844739 20.466378 28.675863 42.085262
2025-11-30 5.951273 7.928558 10.644619 14.758431 21.036040 30.619875 47.137279
2025-12-07 5.387453 7.303326 9.995548 14.182174 20.774681 31.216647 50.047060
2025-12-14 4.865628 6.692715 9.309764 13.471621 20.204111 31.214329 51.879525
2025-12-21 4.523114 6.314019 8.929629 13.185793 20.265658 32.238489 55.687029
2025-12-28 4.607057 6.567899 9.512693 14.466583 23.051335 38.311640 70.192942
2026-01-04 4.452882 6.446626 9.502951 14.773343 24.192750 41.588672 79.814955
2026-01-11 4.164423 6.096890 9.104012 14.384882 24.041817 42.395900 84.315084
2026-01-18 4.050366 6.022657 9.156448 14.802264 25.467400 46.590199 97.630013
2026-01-25 3.830376 5.764525 8.888067 14.629582 25.758764 48.543215 106.200684
2026-02-01 3.620570 5.508611 8.603140 14.397055 25.898880 50.187637 114.412069
2026-02-08 3.443641 5.295531 8.375089 14.246577 26.181954 52.183638 124.091529
2026-02-15 3.248978 5.041012 8.057555 13.897923 26.012477 53.122396 131.095882
2026-02-22 3.112601 4.877307 7.888221 13.818376 26.401691 55.431290 142.788203
2026-03-01 2.917919 4.603013 7.504658 13.287033 25.750424 55.119206 146.362443
2026-03-08 2.718663 4.311456 7.074194 12.631291 24.759774 53.830252 146.517623
2026-03-15 2.589381 4.136244 6.846181 12.367329 24.627296 54.717732 154.220895
2026-03-22 2.666169 4.328181 7.305525 13.549326 27.970622 65.358111 200.114869
2026-03-29 2.618007 4.292801 7.335079 13.832121 29.218976 70.547319 228.270577